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NEW YORK DAWN™ > Blog > Entertainment > 2026 Oscar predictions: greatest supporting actress
2026 Oscar predictions: greatest supporting actress
Entertainment

2026 Oscar predictions: greatest supporting actress

Last updated: September 22, 2025 4:47 pm
Editorial Board Published September 22, 2025
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Teyana Taylor’s untamable revolutionary in “One Battle After Another” holds a stable lead over the pack in Spherical 1. Like her fierce character, “it’s hard to imagine anyone getting in [Taylor’s] way,” says Amy Nicholson. “Finally, she has a role equal to her dynamite screen presence.”

Dave Karger says he’s “curious (and hopeful) to see if Amy Madigan’s unforgettable performance in ‘Weapons’ can lead to her first Academy Award nomination in 40 years,” as she acquired a nod for the Gene Hackman-starring “Twice in a Lifetime” in 1986.

Noting “this category has gone to a woman of color the last four out of five years,” Robert Daniels says, “We’ll see if that streak of diversity holds up.”

1. Teyana Taylor, “One Battle After Another”2. Inga Ibsdotter Lilleaas, “Sentimental Value”3. Amy Madigan, “Weapons”T4. Wunmi Mosaku, “Sinners”T4. Ariana Grande, “Wicked: For Good”T6. Nina Hoss, “Hedda”T6. Chase Infiniti, “One Battle After Another”

RogerEbert.com

Robert Daniels

1. Teyana Taylor, “One Battle After Another”2. Inga Ibsdotter Lilleaas, “Sentimental Value”3. Wunmi Mosaku, “Sinners”4. Emily Blunt, “The Smashing Machine”5. Amy Madigan, “Weapons”

“There’s a lot about this race that’s still very much in the air. Will the academy respect performances from horror films, like Amy Madigan’s looniness in ‘Weapons’ or Wunmi Mosaku’s resilience in ‘Sinners’? Will Joachim Trier’s latest forlorn wonder, ‘Sentimental Value,’ be loved enough to boost a quietly devastating Inga Ibsdotter Lilleaas? Or is this Teyana Taylor’s to lose? Fascinatingly, this category has gone to a woman of color the last four out of five years. We’ll see if that streak of diversity holds up.”

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Turner Basic Films

Dave Karger

1. Teyana Taylor, “One Battle After Another”2. Amy Madigan, “Weapons”3. Chase Infiniti, “One Battle After Another”4. Inga Ibsdotter Lilleaas, “Sentimental Value”5. Ariana Grande, “Wicked: For Good”

“ ‘One Battle After Another’ is the behemoth here, with no fewer than three actresses (Teyana Taylor, Chase Infiniti and Regina Hall) deserving of recognition. I’m also curious (and hopeful) to see if Amy Madigan’s unforgettable performance in ‘Weapons’ can lead to her first Academy Award nomination in 40 years.”

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Los Angeles Instances

Amy Nicholson

1. Teyana Taylor, “One Battle After Another”2. Nina Hoss, “Hedda”3. Inga Ibsdotter Lilleaas, “Sentimental Value”4. Glenn Shut, “Wake Up Dead Man: A Knives Out Mystery”5. Amy Madigan, “Weapons”

“If Teyana Taylor sets out to dominate this year’s Oscar race with the conviction of her ferocious revolutionary Perfidia Beverly Hills strutting into a skyscraper with a bomb, it’s hard to imagine anyone getting in her way. Finally, she has a role equal to her dynamite screen presence.”

line drawing of a person with short hair and glasses on a white circle

IndieWire

Anne Thompson

1. Amy Madigan, “Weapons”2. Teyana Taylor, “One Battle After Another”3. Inga Ibsdotter Lilleaas, “Sentimental Value”4. Wunmi Mosaku, “Sinners”5. Ariana Grande, “Wicked: For Good”

“Teyana Taylor is titanic in just a few scenes in ‘One Battle After Another,’ veteran Amy Madigan steals the show in the horror hit ‘Weapons,’ Ariana Grande is back for ‘Wicked: For Good,’ Wunmi Mosaku heats up the screen in ‘Sinners’ and Inga Ibsdotter Lilleaas holds her own with [Renate] Reinsve as her sister in ‘Sentimental Value.’ ”

line drawing of a person with long hair on a white circle

Katie Walsh

1. Teyana Taylor, “One Battle After Another”2. Ariana Grande, “Wicked: For Good”3. Wunmi Mosaku, “Sinners”4. Emily Watson, “Hamnet”5. Amy Madigan, “Weapons”

“This one is really wide open — Teyana Taylor in ‘One Battle After Another’ is a no-brainer, but if I had a ballot, I’d be voting for Wunmi Mosaku’s sexy, heartbreaking performance in ‘Sinners’ and Amy Madigan’s camp-horror turn as Aunt Gladys in ‘Weapons.’ ”

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Los Angeles Instances

Glenn Whipp

1. Teyana Taylor, “One Battle After Another”2. Inga Ibsdotter Lilleaas, “Sentimental Value”3. Amy Madigan, “Weapons”4. Ariana Grande, “Wicked: For Good”5. Chase Infiniti, “One Battle After Another”

“Inga Ibsdotter Lilleaas plays the quiet sister in ‘Sentimental Value,’ the family peacekeeper, the adult in the room. And she does it with such subtle grace and tenderness that she almost steals the movie from her showier co-stars.”

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