THE BEST GAMES TO BET
GIANTS at PATRIOTS
Monday, 8:15 p.m., Pats by 7 ½, 47 ½
HANK’S HONEYS: Somebody referred to as the Giants the most effective 2-9 staff in historical past. Sadly, they often is the worst ever holding a lead. That hasn’t stopped them from going 5-2 ATS of their final seven video games. As a lot as you maintain your breath each time Jameis Wilson drops again to cross, he has introduced the fixed risk of the deep ball to the Giants offense. With the Pats’ cross D rating twenty first in opposition to a weak schedule, he ought to proceed to search out success and we’ll gladly take the hook. In any case, he and Drake Maye are going to be chucking all of it evening and may simply take this sport over the whole.
IF I WERE A BETTING MAN: Giants and the over.
FALCONS at JETS
1 p.m., Falcons by 2 ½, 39 ½
HANK’S HONEYS: The Jets’ 7-4 ATS report scares us. Nothing else about them does and with this brief a line, we simply can’t again them. Tyrod Taylor is going through a wonderful secondary that doesn’t should respect him throwing it downfield. If they will restrict Breece Corridor as a runner and receiver, they need to win simply. Kirk Cousins was sharp final week and he may have Bijan Robinson testing the Jets’ questionable run protection. The Falcons have been significantly better at turning the ball over (the Jets have zero INTs) and getting after the QB (39 sacks to 19). That’s not a great combo for the house staff.
IF I WERE A BETTING MAN: Falcons and the underneath.
SAINTS at DOLPHINS
1 p.m., Dolphins by 5 ½, 42
HANK’S HONEYS: Whereas there is no such thing as a denying how poor the Saints are, this looks like too many factors, particularly in that it’s going to be a low-scoring sport. The Fins went into their bye week feeling superb about themselves, perhaps a bit too good. They will simply take the guests with no consideration. Tua Tagovailoa actually leans on De’Von Achane however the Saints rank within the prime 10 of run cease models. He’s had some clunkers when Achane hasn’t produced. Tyler Shough had a troublesome go in opposition to a great Falcons cross protection final week however the Dolphins rank twenty sixth in that class.
IF I WERE A BETTING MAN: Saints and the underneath.
TEXANS at COLTS
1 p.m., Colts by 4 ½, 45
HANK’S HONEYS: Overlook the groups, and many others. You possibly can return many years. The No. 1 protection within the NFL ought to by no means be getting this many factors. As a lot as we just like the Colts’ offense, it hasn’t been producing tons of factors currently. Daniel Jones, who must rebound from a lower than stellar three-game stretch, had earlier been thriving off play motion with Jonathan Taylor. Nevertheless, the Texans defend the play motion cross higher than anybody else. C.J. Stroud might return this week however even when he doesn’t, Davis Mills is 3-0 and really serviceable.
IF I WERE A BETTING MAN: Texans and the underneath.
JAGUARS at TITANS
1 p.m., Jaguars by 6 ½, 42
HANK’S HONEYS: The Titans have been near an computerized fade all yr and whereas the Jaguars aren’t precisely a 7-4 staff, they’re nonetheless the higher one right here. Nonetheless, the Jaguars, although 3-0-1 ATS on the street, may very well be caught looking forward to subsequent week’s divisional showdown with the Colts. The Titans are nonetheless taking part in exhausting, regardless of three straight losses by a mixed 16 factors in opposition to a difficult Chargers-Texans-Seahawks lineup. Cam Ward lastly confirmed potential in rubbish time because the Titans acquired the again door cowl final week.
IF I WERE A BETTING MAN: Titans and the over.
CARDINALS at BUCS
1 p.m., Bucs by 2 ½, 44 ½
HANK’S HONEYS: Baker Mayfield’s standing is up within the air, with veteran Teddy Bridgewater getting a lot of the reps. If it’s Bridgewater, we will see the Bucs rallying round him as usually occurs with backup QBs. It is a center of the pack protection that has allowed large days to a number of receivers, establishing Emeka Egbuka to be the most recent. The Bucs have been a great bounce again staff following a loss.
IF I WERE A BETTING MAN: Bucs and the over.
RAMS at PANTHERS
1 p.m., Rams by 10 ½, 45
HANK’S HONEYS: The Rams are trying like the most effective staff within the NFL and Matthew Stafford because the MVP. Los Angeles has a 4-1 SU report on the street with wins coming by 14, 14, 28 and 16 factors. The Panthers’ finest nook, Jaycee Horn, is in concussion protocol, security Tre’von Moehrig is suspended and nickel nook Corey Thornton is out for the yr. In the meantime, Bryce Younger faces his hardest protection but. The Rams can get to the QB with simply their entrance 4, whereas taking part in nice protection behind it.
IF I WERE A BETTING MAN: Rams and the underneath.
49ERs at BROWNS
1 p.m., 49ers by 6 ½, 39 ½
HANK’S HONEYS: The forecast requires rain, snow and wind, so despite the low complete, we just like the underneath. That may additional hamper the 49ers offense, already at an obstacle. Brock Purdy had a rocky re-start final week and issues don’t get simpler right here. The Browns defend the center of the sector very properly, which implies George Kittle and Christian McCaffrey would possibly face powerful sledding. After all, we’re not anticipating Shedeur Sanders to perform a lot and he could have to take action, contemplating how properly the Niners defend the run. Then once more, we will see the Niners content material to get in and get out on a brief week and with their late bye upcoming.
IF I WERE A BETTING MAN: Browns and the underneath.
VIKINGS at SEAHAWKS
4:05 p.m., Seahawks by 10 ½, 43
HANK’S HONEYS: J.J. McCarthy, who has been busily proving himself to be the worst beginning quarterback within the league, has a concussion. Max Brosmer, an undrafted rookie free agent out of Minnesota by way of New Hampshire, can be going through the Seahawks’ beast of a cross rush. Brosmer has proven promise in his transient time on the sector however he’ll be over his head right here. In the meantime, Sam Darnold will get to stay it to the staff that allow him depart in favor of preserving McCarthy. His numbers are horrible in opposition to groups that may carry strain with out blitzing, however the Vikings blitz off the bus and Darnold has a 65% completion proportion in opposition to the blitz.
IF I WERE A BETTING MAN: Seahawks and the underneath.
BILLS at STEELERS
4:25 p.m., Payments by 4 ½, 47 ½
HANK’S HONEYS: Aaron Rodgers’ doable return from a fractured left wrist doesn’t make a lot of a distinction. In actual fact, it might work in opposition to the Steelers. They will function the working sport much more this week due to Buffalo’s cushiony protection in opposition to it. If Rodgers performs, the Payments can overplay the run with out having to respect Rodgers’ restricted vary. Conversely, this units up as an enormous bounce again alternative for Josh Allen, who’s 15-9 ATS off a loss in his final 24 such eventualities. Pittsburgh’s protection stinks and with T.J. Watt not attending to the QB, he’ll have the time to pick receivers.
IF I WERE A BETTING MAN: Payments and the over.
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LOOK BUT DON’T TOUCH
BRONCOS at COMMANDERS
8:20 p.m., Broncos by 6 ½, 43 ½
HANK’S HONEYS: The Broncos personal all of the matchups on this one however they’ve been very disappointing in opposition to inferior groups. They’ll be coming off their bye after an enormous win over the Chiefs so the opportunity of underestimating the Commanders is actual. After all, Washington is tied for the worst NFL report ATS at 3-8, 2-3 at house. Jayden Daniels is a protracted shot to return, leaving Marcus Mariota in opposition to the Denver protection, which is No. 1 in producing cross strain and with Patrick Surtain again at nook and captain Alex Singleton at linebacker.
CAN’T HELP YOURSELF?: Broncos and the over.
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BEST OF THE REST
CHARGERS at RAIDERS
4:25 p.m., Chargers by 9 ½, 41
IF I WERE A BETTING MAN: Chargers and the over.
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WEEK’S BEST BET: Titans. Maintain your nostril.
LAST WEEK: 4-9-1; OVER/UNDER: 12-2
OVERALL: 88-87-2; OVER/UNDER: 101-74-2
BEST BETS: 9-3
